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Sports Entrepreneurship: A dynamic model of the fundamental economic factors in the English Premier League

机译:体育创业:英超联赛基本经济因素的动态模型

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摘要

Economic factors undoubtedly play an important role in sports entrepreneurship, especially football, and fans' support helps clubs to increase their revenue and improve their financial status. The aim of this study is to systematically investigate spectator demand in the English Premier League, its interaction with the media and the effects of these variables on club revenue. Questions raised in this study deal with, as far as the variable of spectator demand is concerned, whether or not the system is in a steady state after going through a transition period. This paper studies the relationship between media attention, spectator demand and club revenue, as far as system dynamics is concerned. How the system behaves in the long run and the behavior of each system variable in the future, are other key issues of interest in this paper. Methodology is based on system dynamics modeling. The model developed is based on data collected from the English Premier League from 1995 to 2010. The state of the system and its stability are investigated through analysis of variance and Chow test. This study shows during a transition period, the system goes through normal stages and reaches a stable, steady state, and the system's future behavior will remain consistent; the variables of media attention, spectator demand and club revenue follow an exponential long-term trend. The application of a system dynamics approach is useful not only in exploring, revealing and understanding such significant features, but also in paving the way for subsequent studies to consider more variables introduced into model, simulating the system in a larger scope. This would allow systemic investigation of more parameters, including those affecting demand (e.g., social factors or appeal), and consequently studying system behaviors in a larger dimension. Based on the system dynamics approach presented in this paper, a multi input – multi output state space modeling of the system can be approached, in order to enable transfer function derivations, finding unstable poles in the stability analysis, stabilizing the instabilities, and system optimization. Nonetheless, nonlinear modes and behaviors of the system can also be explored for thorough system identification.
机译:经济因素无疑在体育创业尤其是足球中起着重要作用,而球迷的支持有助于俱乐部增加收入并改善财务状况。这项研究的目的是系统地调查英超联赛中观众的需求,其与媒体的互动以及这些变量对俱乐部收入的影响。就观众需求的变量而言,本研究提出的问题涉及系统在经历过渡期后是否处于稳定状态。就系统动力学而言,本文研究了媒体注意力,观众需求和俱乐部收入之间的关系。从长远来看,系统的行为方式以及将来每个系统变量的行为,都是本文关注的其他关键问题。方法论基于系统动力学建模。该模型基于1995年至2010年从英超联赛中收集的数据。通过方差分析和Chow检验来研究系统的状态及其稳定性。这项研究表明,在过渡期内,系统会经历正常阶段并达到稳定,稳定的状态,并且系统的未来行为将保持一致。媒体关注度,观众需求和俱乐部收入的变量遵循指数式的长期趋势。系统动力学方法的应用不仅有助于探索,揭示和理解这些重要特征,而且还为后续研究考虑引入模型的更多变量,在更大范围内模拟系统铺平了道路。这将允许系统地调查更多参数,包括那些影响需求的参数(例如,社会因素或吸引力),从而在更大的范围内研究系统行为。基于本文提出的系统动力学方法,可以对系统进行多输入-多输出状态空间建模,以实现传递函数的推导,在稳定性分析中找到不稳定的极点,稳定不稳定性以及系统优化。 。尽管如此,也可以探索系统的非线性模式和行为以进行全面的系统识别。

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