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Assessing the Impact of Climate Change and Land Use Variation on Microbial Transport Using Watershed Scale-modeling

机译:利用分水岭规模模型评估气候变化和土地利用变化对微生物迁移的影响

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Uncertainty surrounding microbial fate and transport renders the assessment of climate change effects on waterborne pathogens complex and difficult to forecast. The objective of this study is to use watershed modeling to predict the impacts of future climate change and land management scenarios on microbial water quality.? Preliminary findings suggest an increased risk to human health due to direct consequences of climate change. Results of watershed-scale microbial load modeling can inform the adoption of pollution control measures required to protect human health and aid development of new water policy.
机译:微生物命运和运输的不确定性使气候变化对水生病原体影响的评估变得复杂且难以预测。这项研究的目的是使用分水岭模型来预测未来气候变化和土地管理情景对微生物水质的影响。初步发现表明,由于气候变化的直接后果,对人类健康的风险增加。分水岭规模的微生物负荷模拟的结果可以为采取保护人类健康和协助制定新的水政策所需的污染控制措施提供信息。

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