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M5 Model Tree to Predict Temporal Evolution of Clear-Water Abutment Scour

机译:M5模型树可预测清水基台冲刷的时间演变

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Scour is a natural phenomenon that is created by the rivers streams or the flood which brings about transferring or eroding of bed materials. To have accurate and safe erosion control structures design, maximum scour depth in downstream of the structures gains specific significance. In the current study, M5 model tree as remedy data mining approaches is suggested to estimate the scour depth around the abutments. To do this, Kayaturk laboratory data (2005), with different hydraulic conditions, are used. Then, the results of M5 model were also compared with genetic programming (GP) and pervious empirical results to investigate the applicability, ability, and accuracy of these procedures. To examine the accuracy of the results yielded from the M5 and GP procedures, two performance indicators (determination coefficient (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE)) were used. The comparison test of results clearly shows that the implementation of M5 technique sounds satisfactory regarding the performance indicators (R2 = 0.944 and RMSE = 0.126) with less deviation from the numerical values. In addition, M5 tree model, by presenting relationships based on liner regression, has good capability to estimate the depth of scour abutment for engineers in practical terms.
机译:冲刷是自然现象,是由河流或洪水造成的,导致床料的转移或侵蚀。为了具有精确和安全的侵蚀控制结构设计,结构下游的最大冲刷深度具有特殊的意义。在当前的研究中,建议使用M5模型树作为补救数据挖掘方法来估计基台周围的冲刷深度。为此,使用了在不同水力条件下的Kayaturk实验室数据(2005)。然后,还将M5模型的结果与遗传规划(GP)和以前的经验结果进行比较,以研究这些程序的适用性,能力和准确性。为了检查M5和GP程序产生的结果的准确性,使用了两个性能指标(测定系数(R2)和均方根误差(RMSE))。结果的对比测试清楚地表明,就性能指标(R2 = 0.944和RMSE = 0.126)而言,M5技术的实施听起来令人满意,与数值的偏差较小。此外,M5树模型通过呈现基于线性回归的关系,具有很好的能力来实际估算工程师的冲刷基台深度。

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