首页> 外文期刊>Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia >Ciclo diário de precipita??es pluviais em intervalos de cinco minutos no município de Fortaleza
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Ciclo diário de precipita??es pluviais em intervalos de cinco minutos no município de Fortaleza

机译:福塔雷萨市以五分钟为间隔的每日降雨周期

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The purpose of this paper is to study the daily cycle of rainfall over Fortaleza, Ceará State. A 30 year time series of rainfall data at five minutes intervals was used. The data came from rain gauge records obtained at the meteorological station at Universidade Federal do Ceará, located at the "Campus do Pici". To obtain the daily rainfall cycle, non-linear regression analysis was used. We searched for fitting to two types of curves: polynomial and sinusoidal. The fitting to a third degree polynomial resulted in an approximately sinusoidal shape, with a determination coefficient r2 = 0.9118. However, the fitted curve showed discontinuity between the values of the ordinates at the beginning and ending of the daily cycle. We developed a new polynomial curve removing the discontinuity. The obtained curve was markedly sinusoidal, with r2= 0.8798. Then, sinusoidal functions fitting were done. We tested the simple sine and a sine-cosine association. With the combination of sine and cosine, the best fitting found is a curve with r2= 0.9113, considered as the best representation of the diurnal cycle. The curve equation has the form: P(h)=113.7422sen(2πh)+26.5895cos(2πh)+142.5764, where h is the event time.
机译:本文的目的是研究塞阿拉州福塔雷萨的每日降雨周期。使用了每隔五分钟的30年时间序列的降雨数据。数据来自在位于“ Cpicus do Pici”的Ceará联邦大学气象站获得的雨量计记录。为了获得每日降雨周期,使用了非线性回归分析。我们搜索两种类型的曲线的拟合:多项式和正弦曲线。拟合到三次多项式得到近似正弦形状,确定系数r2 = 0.9118。但是,拟合曲线在每日周期的开始和结束时显示出坐标值之间的不连续性。我们开发了消除不连续性的新多项式曲线。所得曲线明显为正弦曲线,r2 = 0.8798。然后,完成了正弦函数拟合。我们测试了简单的正弦和正弦-余弦关联。使用正弦和余弦的组合,发现的最佳拟合是r2 = 0.9113的曲线,被认为是昼夜周期的最佳表示。曲线方程的形式为:P(h)= 113.7422sen(2πh)+ 26.5895cos(2πh)+142.5764,其中h是事件时间。

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