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Hyperbolic Discounting and Economic Policy

机译:双曲线贴现与经济政策

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Economic policy-making often entails comparison between immediate costs and flows of future benefits or immediate benefits and series of future costs. Economics has a tool to handle such comparisons: the present- and future value calculations and the net present value rule. Experimental economics, however, has strongly criticised the method of exponential discounting applied in such calculations. Based on experiments for the sake of more psychological realism, they propose alternative methods to the exponential model: hyperbolic and quasi-hyperbolic discounting models. The present paper has a twofold objective: first, to review these different models and the relationships between them to show how the different models will yield different results when calculating and comparing present values of a single future payment, but even more if we compare present values of flows of future payments. The literature has not yet employed the hyperbolic and quasi-hyperbolic models for such calculations. Second, I point out why it is important to heed the findings of experimental economics especially in the field of economic policy-making.
机译:经济决策通常需要在立即成本与未来收益流或立即收益与一系列未来成本之间进行比较。经济学具有处理此类比较的工具:现值和终值计算以及净现值规则。然而,实验经济学强烈批评了在这种计算中采用的指数折现方法。为了获得更多的心理现实主义,在实验的基础上,他们提出了指数模型的替代方法:双曲线和准双曲线贴现模型。本文具有双重目标:首先,回顾这些不同的模型及其之间的关系,以显示在计算和比较单个未来付款的现值时,不同的模型将如何产生不同的结果,但如果我们比较现值,则更是如此。未来付款流量。文献尚未将双曲模型和准双曲模型用于这种计算。第二,我指出为什么重要的是要注意实验经济学的发现,特别是在经济决策领域。

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