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Identifying and Assessing the Risks in the Supply Chain

机译:识别和评估供应链中的风险

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Ranking supply chain risks is as an important part of supply chain risk management especially when the numbers of risk factors are increased. In this study, the comprehensive structure of the main risks are prepared in three levels of the supply chain (3 total sets, 7 sub-categories and 34 categories and 300 subcategories) initially and then these risks are evaluated and ranked in the steel supply chain in Esfahan Steel Complex as a case study. For this purpose, group decision-making methods and means of collection and aggregation experts and linear assignment method is used as a method of Multiple Decision Making to determine the ranking of risks. Ranking indexes were divided in two primary and secondary categories. The primary index is based on likelihood and impact of risks on the main objectives (schedule, cost, quality and scope) of supply chain activities with different weights. The second category of indicators includesocio-economic effects, environmental impacts, near the time of risk, exposure to risk, the confidence level of the estimates and the management of risk, risk reduction and risk discovering. Risks are ranked better using linear assignment method and according to various indices and are ranked more realistic. Based on the results, risks related to procurement and supplier are identified and introduced as the most critical risks.
机译:供应链风险排名是供应链风险管理的重要组成部分,尤其是在风险因素数量增加时。在本研究中,首先在供应链的三个层次(3个集合,7个子类别以及34个类别和300个子类别)中准备了主要风险的综合结构,然后在钢铁供应链中对这些风险进行了评估和排名以Esfahan钢铁厂为例。为此,将群体决策方法,收集和聚集专家的手段以及线性分配方法用作确定风险等级的多重决策方法。排名指数分为两个主要类别和次要类别。主要指标基于风险对各种权重的供应链活动的主要目标(进度,成本,质量和范围)的可能性和影响。第二类指标包括社会经济影响,环境影响,临近风险的时间,面临的风险,估计的置信度和风险管理,降低风险和发现风险。使用线性分配方法并根据各种指标对风险进行更好的排名,并且对现实进行排名。根据结果​​,确定与采购和供应商有关的风险,并将其作为最关键的风险。

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