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How Are Individual Time Preferences Aggregated in Groups? A Laboratory Experiment on Intertemporal Group Decision-Making

机译:如何在组中汇总个人时间首选项?跨期群体决策的实验研究

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The study of intertemporal decision-making is an interdisciplinary scientific topic of economics, psychology, and neuroscience. Most of these studies focus on individual intertemporal decisions, but little is known about the relationship between groups and individual time preferences. As a result, we aim to assess the role of group intertemporal decision-making. We experimentally investigate how to aggregate individual time preferences by clarifying who has the most influence on group decisions among heterogeneous group members. We formulate two hypotheses. The first is the multilateral bargaining hypothesis, which is based on the multilateral bargaining model. If people employ this model to reach agreement, the most patient member in a group has the greatest impact on group choices. The second is the median voter hypothesis, which is based on the median voter model. When people employ this model to reach agreement, the median patient member in a group has the greatest impact on group choices. Here, we find that the median patient member in a group has a significant impact on group decisions in an unstructured bargaining situation. This finding suggests that people use the majority voting rule during group intertemporal decision-making. Thus, our findings support the median voter hypothesis. Furthermore, the results of a chat analysis show that this result is partially due to peoplea??s conformity with the majority opinion.
机译:跨期决策的研究是经济学,心理学和神经科学的跨学科科学主题。这些研究大多集中在个人的跨期决策上,但对群体与个人时间偏好之间的关系了解甚少。因此,我们旨在评估小组跨时期决策的作用。我们通过实验弄清谁对异类组成员中的组决策影响最大,如何汇总个人时间偏好。我们提出两个假设。第一个是多边议价假设,它基于多边议价模型。如果人们采用这种模式达成共识,那么小组中最有耐心的成员对小组选择的影响最大。第二个是中位数选民假设,该假设基于中位数选民模型。当人们采用此模型达成共识时,组中的中位患者成员对组选择​​的影响最大。在这里,我们发现,在非结构性讨价还价情况下,一组患者的中位数对分组决策有重大影响。这一发现表明,人们在小组跨时期决策中使用多数投票规则。因此,我们的发现支持中位数选民假设。此外,聊天分析的结果表明,该结果部分归因于Peoplea与多数意见的一致性。

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