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Budget perspective in Croatia after accession to the European Union

机译:加入欧盟后克罗地亚的预算前景

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摘要

Upon accession to the European Union, the New Member State's budget undergoes significant structural changes due to the appearance of new categories of revenues and expenditures. The aim of this paper is to estimate the possible effects of Croatian membership in the EU on changes in the structure and size of budget revenues and expenditures upon the country's accession to the EU in the second half of 2013, as well as to indicate the possibilities for utilization of EU funds in the new financial perspective up to 2020. It is shown that in 2013 Croatia might realize a positive net financial position in transactions with the EU budget in the amount of approximately 0.28% of GDP, i.e. EUR 136 m. The total net financial position of Croatia due to EU accession, which includes some additional costs and benefits like different harmonization and the need for project co-financing at state and local levels, is also positive in 2013 and amounts to approximately 0.15% of GDP or equivalently EUR 72 m. Total amount of all funds that Croatia might receive in the new EU financial perspective covering the period from 2014 to 2020 amounts to EUR 6.34 bn, whereby annual amounts increase from EUR 0.7 bn in 2014 up to EUR 1.2 bn in 2020. By using exponential regression analysis it is estimated that in 2020 Croatia should be a net recipient of funds from the EU budget in total amount of 1.72% of GDP, i.e. EUR 1.13 bn.
机译:加入欧盟后,由于出现了新的收入和支出类别,新成员国的预算发生了重大的结构变化。本文的目的是评估克罗地亚加入欧盟后可能对预算收入和支出的结构和规模变化(2013年下半年该国加入欧盟的影响),并指出各种可能性到2020年,欧盟将从新的财务角度利用欧盟资金。据显示,2013年克罗地亚在与欧盟预算的交易中可能实现正的净财务状况,约占GDP的0.28%,即1.36亿欧元。欧盟加入后,克罗地亚的总净财务状况(包括一些额外的成本和收益,例如不同的协调性以及需要在州和地方层面共同进行项目融资)在2013年也为正数,约占GDP的0.15%或相当于7,200万欧元。在新的欧盟财务视角下,克罗地亚从2014年至2020年期间可能会收到的所有资金总额为63.4亿欧元,由此每年的金额从2014年的7亿欧元增加到2020年的12亿欧元。通过指数回归分析估计,到2020年,克罗地亚将成为欧盟预算资金的净接受国,占国内生产总值的1.72%,即11.3亿欧元。

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