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Optimum Accelerated Degradation Tests for the Gamma Degradation Process Case under the Constraint of Total Cost

机译:总成本约束下伽马降解过程的最佳加速降解试验

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摘要

An accelerated degradation test (ADT) is regarded as an effective alternative to an accelerated life test in the sense that an ADT can provide more accurate information on product reliability, even when few or no failures may be expected before the end of a practical test period. In this paper, statistical methods for optimal designing ADT plans are developed assuming that the degradation characteristic follows a gamma process (GP). The GP-based approach has an advantage that it can deal with more frequently encountered situations in which the degradation should always be nonnegative and strictly increasing over time. The optimal ADT plan is developed under the total experimental cost constraint by determining the optimal settings of variables such as the number of measurements, the measurement times, the test stress levels and the number of units allocated to each stress level such that the asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimator of the q-th quantile of the lifetime distribution at the use condition is minimized. In addition, compromise plans are developed to provide means to check the adequacy of the assumed acceleration model. Finally, sensitivity analysis procedures for assessing the effects of the uncertainties in the pre-estimates of unknown parameters are illustrated with an example.
机译:从某种意义上讲,即使在实际测试期结束前可能很少或根本没有故障发生的情况下,ADT可以提供有关产品可靠性的更准确信息,从这个意义上讲,加速降级测试(ADT)被认为是加速寿命测试的有效替代方案。 。在本文中,假设降解特性遵循伽马过程(GP),则开发了用于优化设计ADT计划的统计方法。基于GP的方法的优势在于它可以处理更经常遇到的情况,在这些情况下,降级应始终是非负的,并且随着时间的推移会严格增加。通过确定变量的最佳设置(例如测量次数,测量时间,测试应力水平以及分配给每个应力水平的单位数量,从而使A的渐近方差),在总的实验成本约束下制定最佳ADT计划。在使用条件下,寿命分布的第q分位数的最大似然估计器被最小化。此外,还制定了折衷计划,以提供手段来检查假设的加速度模型的适当性。最后,通过一个例子说明了用于评估未知参数预估计中不确定性影响的敏感性分析程序。

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