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The predictors of earthquake preparedness in Tehran households

机译:德黑兰家庭地震准备的预测因素

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Background The high risk of an earthquake happening and the harmful consequences that it leaves, besides the unsuccessful policies for preparing the community for mitigation, suggested that social factors should be considered more in this regard. Social trust is an influencing factor that can have significant impact on people’s behavior. Objective To determine the relationship of the influencing factors on the preparedness of Tehran households against earthquake. Methods This was a cross-sectional study with 369 participants (February to April 2017) involved through stratified random sampling from selected urban districts of Tehran. The Persian version of an ‘Intention to be prepared’ measurement tool and a standard checklist of earthquake preparedness behaviors were used. The tool was evaluated for internal consistency and test-retest reliability in a pilot study (Cronbach’s α =0.94 and Intra Class Correlation Coefficient =0.92). Results Multivariate linear regression analysis showed that social trust is the most important predictor for the preparedness mean of changes in Tehran (R~(2)=0.109, p<0.001, β: 0.187 for the Preparedness behavior; R~(2)=0.117, β: 0.298, p<0.001 for Intention to be prepared; and R~(2)=0.142, β: 0.345, p<0.001 for the Perceived preparedness). Conclusion The relationship between social trust and preparedness dimensions suggested that changing a social behavior is not possible through considering only individual characteristics of community members and not their social networks relations. The programs and policies which try to enhance the social trust in general, may be able to increase public preparedness against earthquakes in the future.
机译:背景技术地震发生的高风险及其造成的有害后果,除了为社区减灾做准备的政策不成功之外,还建议在这方面更多地考虑社会因素。社会信任是一个影响因素,可能对人们的行为产生重大影响。目的确定影响德黑兰家庭抗震能力的因素之间的关系。方法这是一项横断面研究,共有369名参与者(2017年2月至2017年4月)通过对来自德黑兰选定市区的分层随机抽样参与。使用了波斯语的“准备准备”测量工具和地震准备行为的标准清单。在一项初步研究中,对工具的内部一致性和重测可靠性进行了评估(Cronbachα= 0.94,类别内相关系数= 0.92)。结果多元线性回归分析显示,社会信任是德黑兰变化的备灾平均值的最重要预测因子(备灾行为的R〜(2)= 0.109,p <0.001,β:0.187; R〜(2)= 0.117 ,β:0.298,p <0.001(准备意图); R〜(2)= 0.142,β:0.345,p <0.001(准备感知)。结论社会信任与防范维度之间的关系表明,仅考虑社区成员的个人特征而不考虑其社交网络关系是不可能改变社会行为的。旨在总体上增强社会信任的计划和政策,将来可能能够提高公众对地震的准备。

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