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An Integrative Research Framework to Unravel the Interplay of Natural Hazards and Vulnerabilities

机译:揭示自然灾害与脆弱性相互作用的综合研究框架

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Climate change, globalization, urbanization, social isolation, and increased interconnectedness between physical, human, and technological systems pose major challenges to disaster risk reduction (DRR). Subsequently, economic losses caused by natural hazards are increasing in many regions of the world, despite scientific progress, persistent policy action, and international cooperation. We argue that these dramatic figures call for novel scientific approaches and new types of data collection to integrate the two main approaches that still dominate the science underpinning DRR: the hazard paradigm and the vulnerability paradigm. Building from these two approaches, here we propose a research framework that specifies the scope of enquiry, concepts, and general relations among phenomena. We then discuss the essential steps to advance systematic empirical research and evidence‐based DRR policy action. Plain Language Summary The recent deadly earthquake in Iran‐Iraq has been yet another reminder of the topicality of natural hazards, and it has come just after an unprecedented series of catastrophic events, including the extensive flooding in South Asia and the string of devastating hurricanes in the Americas. He we identify three main puzzles in the nexus of natural hazards and vulnerabilities, and demonstrate how novel approaches are needed to solve them with reference to a flood risk example. Specifically, we show how a new research framework can guide systematic data collections to advance the fundamental understanding of socionatural interactions, which is an essential step to improve the development of policies for disaster risk reduction.
机译:气候变化,全球化,城市化,社会孤立以及物理,人与技术系统之间日益紧密的联系给减少灾害风险(DRR)带来了重大挑战。随后,尽管科学进步,持续的政策行动和国际合作,但在世界许多地区,自然灾害造成的经济损失正在增加。我们认为,这些引人注目的人物需要新颖的科学方法和新型的数据收集方法,以整合仍主导着DRR的科学的两种主要方法:危险范式和脆弱性范式。在这两种方法的基础上,这里我们提出一个研究框架,该框架指定了查询的范围,概念以及现象之间的一般关系。然后,我们讨论了推进系统的实证研究和基于证据的DRR政策行动的基本步骤。朴素的语言摘要最近发生在伊朗-伊拉克的致命地震再次提醒人们注意自然灾害的紧迫性,它发生在一系列史无前例的灾难性事件之后,包括南亚的洪水泛滥和伊拉克遭受的一系列毁灭性飓风美洲。他确定了自然灾害和脆弱性之间的三个主要难题,并以洪水风险为例,说明了如何需要新颖的方法来解决这些难题。具体而言,我们展示了一个新的研究框架如何能够指导系统的数据收集,以增进对社会自然相互作用的基本理解,这是改进制定减少灾害风险政策的必不可少的步骤。

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