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Prediction of Bus Arrival Times at Bus Stop

机译:公交车站到站时间的预测

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Bus arrival time is very important to passengers, not only at the origin terminal but also at every stop. If there is no predicted arrival time at a stop, the headway designed should match the bus frequency at the stop. The uncertainty in bus arrival time can hinder the headway from matching the bus frequency at the stops. Moreover, lack of information on the service route and actual arrival times at stops leads to difficulty for passengers in planning their trips. Observation surveys were conducted to collect data on the problems of bus arrival frequency and uncertain arrival times at a selected stop with multiple routes during off-peak hours in Putrajaya Malaysia. This paper proposes a method to estimate arrival times at bus stops using the adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and several models are proposed to predict arrival times using MATLAB Curve Fitting Tool. All the proposed models exhibited RMSE close to 0 and R2 close to 1.
机译:公交车的到达时间对乘客来说非常重要,不仅在始发站,而且在每个站点。如果在停靠站没有预计的到达时间,则设计的车距应与停靠站的公交车频率相匹配。公交车到达时间的不确定性可能会阻碍行进路线与车站的公交车频率匹配。此外,由于缺乏有关服务路线和实际到达车站时间的信息,导致乘客难以计划行程。在马来西亚布城的非高峰时间,进行了观察调查,以收集有关公交车的到达频率和在多个路线的选定停靠站的不确定到达时间问题的数据。本文提出了一种使用自适应神经模糊推理系统(ANFIS)估算公交车站到达时间的方法,并提出了几种使用MATLAB曲线拟合工具预测公交车站到达时间的模型。所有提出的模型均显示出RMSE接近0,R2接近1。

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