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Application of Support Vector Machine in Bus Travel Time Prediction

机译:支持向量机在公交出行时间预测中的应用

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The travel time between bus stops has obvious characteristics of time interval distribution, and the bus is a typical space-time process object, and its operation has a state transition. In order to predict the travel time between bus stations accurately, a support vector machine (SVM) algorithm is proposed based on the measured travel time between bus stations. Through a large number of GPS data in different periods of time for a reasonable classification summary bin selected the appropriate kernel function to verify. The algorithm is verified by the actual operation data of No. 6 bus in Qingdao Economic and technological Development Zone. The results show that the results of support vector machine model operation are basically in agreement with the actual measured data, and the accuracy is relatively high, and it can even be used to predict bus travel time.
机译:公交车站之间的行驶时间具有明显的时间间隔分布特征,公交车是典型的时空过程对象,其运行具有状态转换。为了准确预测公交车站之间的行驶时间,基于实测公交车站之间的行驶时间,提出了一种支持向量机(SVM)算法。通过在不同时间段内的大量GPS数据进行合理的分类,汇总bin选择了适当的内核功能进行验证。青岛经济技术开发区6号客车的实际运行数据对算法进行了验证。结果表明,支持向量机模型的运算结果与实际实测数据基本吻合,准确度较高,甚至可以用于预测公交出行时间。

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