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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering >Modelling the Effects of Climate Change on Hydroelectric Power in Dokan, Iraq
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Modelling the Effects of Climate Change on Hydroelectric Power in Dokan, Iraq

机译:模拟伊拉克多坎气候变化对水力发电的影响

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摘要

Due to shift in the average patterns of weather, climate change became one of the significant development challenges. Hydropower is currently being utilized in more than 150 countries, including 11,000 stations with 27,000 generating units. Increasing attention has been paid to hydropower generation in recent years, because it is renewable energy. Temperature and precipitation effects from global climate change could alter future hydrologic conditions in Iraq and, as a result, future hydropower generation. This is also valid for the Middle East and Iraq. The aim of this study (part1) is to evaluate potential climate change impacts on hydropower in Dokan region, and to recommend various options to maintain optimum required water level to ensure full capacity of electricity generation throughout the year. A simple approach assumes that hydropower systems will reduce generation if water supply reduces, and vice versa. The analysis of the approach was carried out to convert changes in water resource availability to changes in electric hydropower generation. By the year 2050 and based on 12GCMs, electric power generation in Dokan power plant will decrease by 20-40 MW. The other factors such as the site head, the turbine generating capacity and efficiency which were neglected, will be measured, calculated and discussed in part2 of the study.
机译:由于平均天气模式的变化,气候变化成为重大的发展挑战之一。目前,水力发电已在150多个国家/地区使用,包括11,000个电站和27,000台发电机组。近年来,由于水力发电是可再生能源,因此越来越受到关注。全球气候变化带来的温度和降水影响可能会改变伊拉克未来的水文条件,并因此改变未来的水力发电。这对中东和伊拉克也有效。这项研究(第1部分)的目的是评估Dokan地区气候变化对水电的潜在影响,并建议各种选择以维持所需的最佳水位,以确保全年发电量。一种简单的方法假设,如果供水减少,水电系统将减少发电量,反之亦然。对该方法进行了分析,以将水资源可利用性的变化转换为水力发电的变化。到2050年,基于12GCM,Dokan电厂的发电量将减少20-40 MW。在本研究的第2部分中,将测量,计算和讨论其他被忽略的因素,例如站点扬程,涡轮发电能力和效率。

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