Uncertainties Modeling and Simulation of an Emergency Process with Fuzzy Petri Nets

摘要

This paper describes a way to model and simulate an emergency procedure with uncertainties. These uncertainties (especially due to visibility conditions, stress of actors) may have a strong influence on operational decisions and lead to a bad efficiency of the emergency system, due to a wrong resources management. These variables are considered and processed as fuzzy numbers and they are used as input of a simulation model with fuzzy Petri nets to evaluate the reactivity and the efficiency of the procedure.