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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Geosciences >An Overlooked Term in Assessment of the Potential Sea-Level Rise from a Collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet
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An Overlooked Term in Assessment of the Potential Sea-Level Rise from a Collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet

机译:评估南极西部冰盖崩塌潜在海平面上升的一个被忽略的术语

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As to sea level rise (SLR) contribution, melting and setting afloat make no difference for land based ice. Melting of West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) into water is impossible in the upcoming several centuries, whereas breaking and partially afloat is likely as long as sea waters find a pathway to the bottom of those ice sectors with basal elevation below sea level. In this sense WAIS may be disintegrated in a future warming climate. We reassess the potential contribution to eustatic sea level from a collapse of WAIS and find that previous assessments have overlooked a contributor: slope instability after the cementing ice is removed. Over loading ice has a buttressing effect on slope movements the same way ice shelves hinder the flow of non-floating coastal ice. A sophisticated landslide model estimates a 9-mm eustatic SLR contribution from subsequent landslides.
机译:至于海平面上升(SLR)的贡献,融化和浮起对陆基冰无影响。在即将到来的几个世纪中,不可能将西南极冰盖(WAIS)融化为水,而只要海水找到一条通往基础高度低于海平面的冰层底部的通道,就有可能破裂和部分漂浮。从这个意义上讲,WAIS可能会在未来的变暖气候中瓦解。我们重新评估了WAIS崩溃对海平面上升的潜在影响,发现先前的评估已忽略了一个因素:去除胶结冰后的边坡失稳。超载的冰对斜坡运动具有支撑作用,就像冰架阻碍非漂浮的沿海冰流一样。复杂的滑坡模型估计随后的滑坡会产生9毫米的静态SLR。

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