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Socio-economic impacts in a Changing Climate: Case Study Syria

机译:气候变化中的社会经济影响:叙利亚案例研究

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As a result of climate change, it is clear in thecoming years to provide an instability for conflict zones. Climate change haspotential socio-economic consequences in addition to environmental impacts.Drought is one of the result of climate change especially in Mediterranean. Itcan also increase by unsustainable government policies and effects quality oflife of people. Decreasing of water resources and rural land using force peopleto migrate from rural areas to urban areas as a consequence of low productivityfrom agriculture and animal husbandry, rising of food prices and decreasing ofwealth level. Results of climate change have differences depends on features ofcountries as climate vulnerability, social policies, ethnicity. In this studywe evaluate socio-economic impacts of 2006-2010 severe drought in Syriacomparing with other climate impacted countries. There are a number of studiesin which the Syrian war is overstated by the excess of the relationship as muchas the work that expresses the emergence of climate changes as a result. Weobserved that in addition current problems in Syria, drought between 2007 and2010 contributed to uprising in 2011 and consequently to immigration, conflictand terrorism. It is not wrong to evaluate that the impact of the spread ofconflicts inherited from generations before the arid years of succession is atleast as effective as the causes of other conflicts. The long-term effects ofclimate change, which has begun to emerge, indicate potential conflicts thatcan develop in water-scarce, multicultural geographies, particularly in theMiddle East.
机译:由于气候变化,显然在未来几年中将为冲突地区带来动荡。除环境影响外,气候变化还具有潜在的社会经济后果。干旱是气候变化的结果之一,尤其是在地中海地区。政府不可持续的政策还会增加它,并影响人们的生活质量。由于农业和畜牧业生产力低下,粮食价格上涨和财富水平下降,水资源和农村土地使用的减少迫使人们从农村地区迁移到城市地区。气候变化的结果存在差异,这取决于国家的特征,如气候脆弱性,社会政策,种族。在这项研究中,我们评估了2006-2010年叙利亚严重干旱与其他受气候影响国家相比的社会经济影响。有许多研究表明,叙利亚战争对这种关系的过分夸大了,其结果也表明了气候变化的出现。我们观察到,除了叙利亚当前存在的问题外,2007年至2010年之间的干旱加剧了2011年的起义,进而导致了移民,冲突和恐怖主义。评估在干旱的继承年代之前几代人继承的冲突蔓延所产生的影响至少与其他冲突的起因一样有效是正确的。气候变化的长期影响已经开始显现,表明在缺水,多元文化的地区,特别是在中东,可能发生潜在的冲突。

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