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Effects of Life Table Models on the Evaluation of Excess Mortality

机译:寿命表模型对过高死亡率评估的影响

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Background: Northern regions of Iran have been encountered to dominate malignancies of gastrointestinal (GI) tract. We aimed to examine the excess mortality due to the GI tract cancer in Mazandaran province.Methods: Socio-demographic and clinical data of 484 patients with GI cancer collected during the years 1990-1991were available from Babol Cancer Registry Center in Iran. Patients were followed-up for a maximum period of 15 years by the year 2006. The Coale-Demeny life tables were established for each combination of birth cohort and sex of patients, and were considered as the reference population in estimating excess mortality rates. The relative and additive mortality models for excess mortality estimation were used. Results: The sample of subjects encompassed 66.3% men and 33.7% women, with mean age 58.26 ± 10.90 years. Esophageal cancer appeared to be the most common one, and endoscopy was the general method for cancer detection. Survival rate in 15 years following diagnosis was nearly 6%. Excess mortality estimated by each of the relative and additive models reached the most value in the first two years of observation in both genders and according to each of the Coale-Demeny regional patterns. Conclusion: considering individuals in a population come from different cohorts with different mortality patterns, it might be recommended to construct distinct life tables for different birth cohorts when estimating excess hazard. The West model as a general pattern is recommended to represent mortality patterns in countries whose registration systems either do not exist or are so affected by omission and other errors.
机译:背景:曾遇到伊朗北部地区占主导地位的胃肠道(GI)恶性肿瘤。我们的目的是检查Mazandaran省因胃肠道癌而导致的额外死亡率。方法:1990年至1991年间从伊朗的Babol癌症登记中心获得的484例胃肠道癌患者的社会人口统计学和临床​​数据。到2006年,对患者进行的最长随访期为15年。针对出生队列和患者性别的每种组合,建立了Coale-Demeny生活表,并被视为估计超额死亡率的参考人群。使用了相对和相加死亡率模型来估算超额死亡率。结果:受试者样本包括66.3%的男性和33.7%的女性,平均年龄为58.26±10.90岁。食道癌似乎是最常见的一种,而内窥镜检查是检测癌症的通用方法。诊断后15年的生存率接近6%。根据相对和累加模型中的每一个,根据Coale-Demeny区域模式中的每一个,在性别观察的前两年中,根据性别和加性模型估算的超额死亡率均达到最高值。结论:考虑到人口中的个体来自不同的人群,具有不同的死亡率模式,在估计过度危险时,建议为不同的出生人群构建不同的生命表。建议将West模式作为一般模式来代表那些其注册系统不存在或受到遗漏和其他错误影响的国家的死亡率模式。

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