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Research On Business Intelligent Forecasting Method With Time Series

机译:时间序列的业务智能预测方法研究

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This study present a hybrid forecasting method with time series and intelligent error modification. It takes the historical income data of 19 months of a enterprise as the primary data, respectively using time series and grey forecasting method to train the data and to compare their results. It reveals that time series method is more accurate. However it can not meet the actual requirements. Through analysis, major income was selected from hundreds of items by using principal factor analysis method. Then, time series method was used for training major income respectively, next the large random items of income were operated with intelligent processing technology such as linear regression, neural network s and support vector machine for error modification. The result shows that the method with support vector machines is the best one.
机译:本研究提出了一种具有时间序列和智能误差修正的混合预测方法。以企业19个月的历史收入数据为主要数据,分别采用时间序列和灰色预测的方法对数据进行训练和比较。这表明时间序列方法更为准确。但是它不能满足实际要求。通过分析,采用主因子分析法从数百项中选择了主要收入。然后,分别使用时间序列方法训练主要收入,然后使用线性回归,神经网络和支持向量机等智能处理技术对较大的随机收入项目进行误差修正。结果表明,采用支持向量机的方法是最好的。

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