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Variations in band reporting rate and implications for kill rate in Greater Snow Geese

机译:大雪雁乐队报告率的变化及其对杀灭率的影响

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We assessed spatial and temporal variation in reporting probability of banded Greater Snow Geese (Chen caerulescens atlantica) shot by hunters in eastern North America and evaluated potential residual biases in kill rate estimation. Adult Greater Snow Geese were marked with reward (value: US$10, $20, $30, $50, and $100) and standard bands ($0, control) in the Canadian Arctic from 2003 to 2005. We used a spatially explicit multinomial model based on 200 direct recoveries from 4256 banded geese to estimate reporting rate and harvest rate. We found that reporting rate for standard bands varied over time whereas harvest rate was higher in Canada than in the U.S. The reporting probability increased from 0.40 ± 0.11 in the first year of the study to 0.82 ± 0.14 and 0.84 ± 0.13 the second and third years, respectively. Overall, these reporting rates are higher than two previous estimates for this population, which leads to lower estimates of kill rate. However, the large annual differences in reporting rates found in this study lead to uncertainty in the estimation of kill rate. We suggest that the increase in reporting rate in the last two year of the study may be due to the dissemination of information among hunters regarding the presence of reward bands on birds, resulting in increased reporting rate for all bands. This raises issues about the need to adequately inform the public in such large-scale studies to avoid undesirable temporal trends over the course of the study.
机译:我们评估了北美东部猎人带状大雪雁(Chen caerulescens atlantica)的带报告概率的时空变化,并评估了杀灭率估算中的潜在残留偏差。成年大雪雁在2003年至2005年间被标记为奖励(价值:10美元,20美元,30美元,50美元和100美元)和标准带(0美元,对照组)。我们使用基于200的空间显式多项式模型直接从4256条带状鹅中回收,以估计报告率和收获率。我们发现标准带的报告率随时间变化,而加拿大的收获率高于美国。报告的可能性从研究的第一年的0.40±0.11增加到第二年和第三年的0.82±0.14和0.84±0.13。 , 分别。总体而言,这些报告率高于该人群先前的两个估计,这导致较低的死亡率。然而,这项研究发现报告率的年度差异很大,导致死亡率的估计不确定。我们建议在研究的后两年中报告率的增加可能是由于在猎人之间传播了有关鸟类奖励带的信息,从而导致了所有带的报告率增加。这就提出了这样的问题,即在这样的大规模研究中需要充分告知公众,以避免在研究过程中出现不良的时间趋势。

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