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Study on the Error Component of Multiplicative Time Series Model Under Inverse Square Transformation

机译:平方反比下乘法时间序列模型的误差成分研究

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Thiswork examines the conditions for non-violation of the basic assumptions on the error component of a multiplicative time series model when inverse square transformation is applied to the error term. To achieve this, the curve shapes of the probability density functions (pdfs) of were compared for some values of and it was found that the distribution of the transformed variable loses its symmetry when Rolle’s Theorem was also used to find the region where satisfies the bell-shaped condition; and this is met Use of the simulated error terms shows that the transformed variable is normal for Finally, from the functional expressions for it was observed that the mean of is one and the increased variance is approximately 4 times the variance of Therefore, the condition for successful inverse square transformation with respect to the error component of the multiplicative time series model is.
机译:当对误差项应用平方反变换时,这项工作研究了不违反乘法时间序列模型的误差分量的基本假设的条件。为达到此目的,对的概率密度函数(pdfs)的曲线形状比较了的一些值,发现当使用Rolle定理也找到满足钟形的区域时,变换变量的分布失去了对称性。形条件并使用模拟误差项表明变换变量对于而言是正常的。最后,从函数表达式中可以看出,的均值为1,并且增加的方差约为方差的4倍。因此,关于乘法时间序列模型的误差分量的成功平方反变换是成功的。

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