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Increasing incidence of thyroid cancer in the Nordic countries with main focus on Swedish data

机译:主要关注瑞典数据的北欧国家甲状腺癌发病率上升

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Background Radiofrequency radiation in the frequency range 30?kHz–300?GHz was evaluated to be Group 2B, i.e. ‘possibly’ carcinogenic to humans, by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) at WHO in May 2011. Among the evaluated devices were mobile and cordless phones, since they emit radiofrequency electromagnetic fields (RF-EMF). In addition to the brain, another organ, the thyroid gland, also receives high exposure. The incidence of thyroid cancer is increasing in many countries, especially the papillary type that is the most radiosensitive type. Methods We used the Swedish Cancer Register to study the incidence of thyroid cancer during 1970–2013 using joinpoint regression analysis. Results In women, the incidence increased statistically significantly during the whole study period; average annual percentage change (AAPC) +1.19?% (95?% confidence interval (CI) +0.56, +1.83?%). Two joinpoints were detected, 1979 and 2001, with a high increase of the incidence during the last period 2001–2013 with an annual percentage change (APC) of +5.34?% (95?% CI +3.93, +6.77?%). AAPC for all men during 1970–2013 was +0.77?% (95?% CI ?0.03, +1.58?%). One joinpoint was detected in 2005 with a statistically significant increase in incidence during 2005–2013; APC +7.56?% (95?% CI +3.34, +11.96?%). Based on NORDCAN data, there was a statistically significant increase in the incidence of thyroid cancer in the Nordic countries during the same time period. In both women and men a joinpoint was detected in 2006. The incidence increased during 2006–2013 in women; APC +6.16?% (95?% CI +3.94, +8.42?%) and in men; APC +6.84?% (95?% CI +3.69, +10.08?%), thus showing similar results as the Swedish Cancer Register. Analyses based on data from the Cancer Register showed that the increasing trend in Sweden was mainly caused by thyroid cancer of the papillary type. Conclusions We postulate that the whole increase cannot be attributed to better diagnostic procedures. Increasing exposure to ionizing radiation, e.g. medical computed tomography (CT) scans, and to RF-EMF (non-ionizing radiation) should be further studied. The design of our study does not permit conclusions regarding causality.
机译:背景技术2011年5月,世界卫生组织国际癌症研究机构(IARC)将30?kHz–300?GHz频率范围内的射频辐射评估为2B组,即“可能”对人类致癌。是移动电话和无绳电话,因为它们会发射射频电磁场(RF-EMF)。除大脑外,另一个器官(甲状腺)也受到大量暴露。在许多国家,甲状腺癌的发病率正在增加,特别是对放射线最敏感的乳头型。方法我们使用瑞典癌症登记册,通过联接点回归分析研究了1970-2013年间甲状腺癌的发病率。结果在整个研究期间,女性的发病率显着增加。年平均百分比变化(AAPC)+ 1.19%(95%置信区间(CI)+ 0.56,+ 1.83%)。在1979年和2001年检测到两个连接点,在2001-2013年的最后一个时期内,发病率急剧上升,年变化率(APC)为+ 5.34%(95%CI + 3.93,+ 6.77%)。 1970-2013年所有男性的AAPC为+ 0.77%(95%CI = 0.03,+ 1.58%)。在2005年发现了一个连接点,在2005-2013年期间发病率在统计上显着增加; APC + 7.56%(95%CI +3.34,+ 11.96%)。根据NORDCAN数据,北欧国家同期甲状腺癌的发病率在统计上有显着增加。 2006年在男女中都发现了一个连接点。2006-2013年期间,女性发病率增加;男性为APC + 6.16%(95%CI +3.94,+ 8.42%); APC + 6.84%(95%CI +3.69,+ 10.08%),因​​此显示的结果与瑞典癌症登记处相似。根据癌症登记处的数据进行的分析表明,瑞典的上升趋势主要是由甲状腺乳头状癌引起的。结论我们推测,整体增加不能归因于更好的诊断程序。增加对电离辐射的暴露,例如医学计算机断层扫描(CT)扫描和RF-EMF(非电离辐射)应进一步研究。我们的研究设计不允许得出因果关系的结论。

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