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OIL PRICES

机译:油价

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摘要

Brent oil prices have remained around the US$47-50 range, up from a low on January 20 of US$26.01, despite concerns over Asian and European growth prospects. The relative stability in crude has also been reflected in OPEC's decision to maintain its forecast for an increase in global oil demand this year. OPEC ended yet another meeting this month without agreement over output. Until December 2015, OPEC had a production ceiling of 30mn barrels a day, although this was routinely ignored as oil producers pumped more crude. OPEC decided against a cap this time, citing rising demand in the US, India and other consumers. Excess supply is expected to ease this year, due in part to wildfires in Alberta and attacks on Nigeria's oil pipelines. However, a large overhang of supply will remain.
机译:尽管对亚洲和欧洲经济增长前景感到担忧,布伦特原油价格仍保持在47-50美元范围内,高于1月20日的低点26.01美元。欧佩克维持今年对全球石油需求增长的预测的决定也反映了原油的相对稳定性。欧佩克本月又举行了一次会议,但未就产量达成协议。直到2015年12月,欧佩克的日产量上限为3000万桶,尽管由于石油生产商抽更多的原油,这通常被忽略。欧佩克这次决定取消上限,理由是美国,印度和其他消费者的需求上升。预计今年的供应过剩将有所缓解,部分原因是艾伯塔省的野火和对尼日利亚石油管道的袭击。但是,仍然会有大量的供应悬空。

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  • 来源
    《Consensus Forecasts》 |2016年第6期|27-27|共1页
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