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CONSENSUS FORECASTS: WORLD ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

机译:共识预测:世界经济活动

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Regional totals and the grand totals for GDP growth and inflation, are weighted averages calculated using 2020 GDP weights, con verted at a verage 2020 US$ exchange rates. These weights and rates were last updated in July 2021. Due to annual updates in exchange rates and GDP weights in July-September of each year, there will be differences in the Regional and World Aggregates in those months. Therefore, some aggregates may not be comparable to the aggregates from previous months. Current account forecasts given in national currencies on pages 7-24 have been converted using consensus exchange rate forecasts for the purposes of comparison. USA and Canada. The Euro zone aggregate is taken from our panel's latest forecasts (pages 18-19). The Euro zone current account data and forecasts are based on extra-euro zone data, i.e., an aggregate of the Euro zone member states' transactions with nonresidents of the Euro zone. The European Union data includes the Euro zone countries listed on page 18 plus Denmark and Sweden, as well as the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Bulgaria and Croatia (data taken from Eastern Europe Consensus Forecasts). Western Europe comprises the six Euro zone countries listed in the table above, plus Austria, Denmark, Finland, Greece, Ireland, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. Survey results for Japan plus sixteen other countries taken from Asia Pacific Consensus Forecasts. Twenty-seven countries, including twelve European Union countries taken from the latest issue of Eastern Europe Consensus Forecasts. Seventeen countries taken from the latest issue of Latin American Consensus Forecasts (inflation figures are on a December/December basis). Venezuela is excluded beginning in April 2018. Egypt, Israel, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and South Africa. The Eastern Europe and Latin American components of the World Total are taken from prior months surveys.
机译:区域总数和GDP增长和通货膨胀的大总数是使用2020 GDP重量计算的加权平均值,并以VERAGE为2020美元的汇率而导致。这些重量和利率最初于2021年7月更新。由于每年7月9月的汇率和GDP重量的年度更新,那些月内区域和世界汇总将存在差异。因此,一些聚集体可能与前几个月的聚集体相当。在第7-24页的国家货币上给出的经常账户预测已使用共识汇率预测转换为比较。美国和加拿大。欧元区汇总来自我们的小组的最新预测(第18-19页)。欧元区经常账户数据和预测基于欧元区欧元区成员国的交易的超额欧元区数据。欧盟数据包括欧元区国家,第18页加上丹麦和瑞典,以及捷克共和国,匈牙利,波兰,罗马尼亚,保加利亚和克罗地亚(从东欧共识预测所采取的数据)。西欧包括上表中列出的六个欧元区国家,加上奥地利,丹麦,芬兰,希腊,爱尔兰,挪威,葡萄牙,瑞典,瑞士和英国。日本调查结果加上亚太地区共识预测的16个其他国家。二十七个国家,包括十二个欧洲联盟国家,从最新问题的东欧共识预测中取出。从最新问题的拉丁美洲共识预测中采取了十七个国家(通货膨胀数字是在12月/ 12月的基础上)。委内瑞拉于2018年4月开始。埃及,以色列,尼日利亚,沙特阿拉伯和南非。世界各地的东欧和拉丁美洲组成部分是从前几月调查中的。

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    《Consensus Forecasts》 |2021年第9期|32-32|共1页
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