Forecasting and analytical device for short- and medium-term forecasting SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE REGION

摘要

This device solved the problem of the formation of an arbitrary list of models, determination of their parameters, connecting to different databases at any time, content, and update data in real time, the implementation of forecasting of the basic indicators of socio-economic development of the region and the indicators characterizing various spheres of activity in the region to the basis of statistical information, the formation of accounting documents. Forecasting and analytical unit for short- and medium-term forecasts of socio-economic development of the region, contains a subsystem simulation processes of socio-economic development of the region, which includes the input unit of the socio-economic development of the region associated with the database in which the parameters are organized in the form of hierarchy, unit load models that simulate individual socio-economic processes, which allows the addition of a new model for the index susches Leica Geosystems hierarchy and the removal of outdated models of block modeling of processes of social and economic development of the region, which is a set of media with the ability to edit and delete models, connected to the bases of statistical data relating to the social and economic development, to determine the depth retrospectives and query parameters; each of the blocks of said subsystems associated with the block select projected figure, that receives a user request, processes the request parameters and transmits them to the execution unit for calculating predicted values ​​of said parameter for a predetermined time period associated with the block query function statistics for starting prediction of specific socio process -economic indicator for a predetermined period of time, connected to the bases of statistical data, and information storage unit, which is provided ivaet storing intermediate calculated and predicted values ​​associated with the block forming the resulting reports projected to said block statistical data request function associated with block analysis and visualization of historical information, which generates graphical and tabular representation of historical data, provides the user with information on the main numerical characteristics analyzed index It performs the function of creating the resulting dynamic reports and transmits Correspondingly vuyuschego report the user associated with the block selection and the projected figure with the input-output unit. 1 pt. MTF 1 Fig.