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A Monte-Carlo based approach for pricing credit default swaps with regime switching

机译:基于蒙特卡洛方法的信用违约掉期定价机制转换

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This paper considers the valuation of a CDS (credit default swap) contract. To find out a more accurate CDS price, we work on an extended Merton's model by assuming that the price of the reference asset follows a regime switching Black-Scholes model, and moreover, the reference asset can default at any time before the expiry time. A general pricing formula for the CDS containing the unknown no default probability is derived first. It is then subsequently shown that the no default probability is equivalent to the price of a down-and-out binary option written on the same reference asset. By simulating the Markov chain with the Monte-Carlo technique, we obtain an approximation formula for the down-and-out binary option, with the availability of which, the calculation of the CDS price becomes straightforward. Finally, some numerical experiments are conducted to examine the accuracy of the approximation approach as well as the impacts of the introduction of the regime switching mechanics on the CDS price. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:本文考虑了CDS(信用违约掉期)合同的估值。为了找到更准确的CDS价格,我们在扩展默顿模型的基础上,假设参考资产的价格遵循制度转换Black-Scholes模型,而且参考资产可以在到期前的任何时间违约。首先导出包含未知无违约概率的CDS的通用定价公式。随后显示,无违约概率等于写在同一参考资产上的跌价二元期权的价格。通过使用蒙特卡洛技术模拟马尔可夫链,我们获得了向下和向下二元期权的近似公式,有了它,CDS价格的计算变得很简单。最后,进行了一些数值实验,以检验逼近方法的准确性以及引入制度转换机制对CDS价格的影响。 (C)2018 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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