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Bayesian structured variable selection in linear regression models

机译:线性回归模型中的贝叶斯结构变量选择

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摘要

In this paper we consider the Bayesian approach to the problem of variable selection in normal linear regression models with related predictors. We adopt a generalized singular (g)-prior distribution for the unknown model parameters and the beta-prime prior for the scaling factor (g), which results in a closed-form expression of the marginal posterior distribution without integral representation. A special prior on the model space is then advocated to reflect and maintain the hierarchical or structural relationships among predictors. It is shown that under some nominal assumptions, the proposed approach is consistent in terms of model selection and prediction. Simulation studies show that our proposed approach has a good performance for structured variable selection in linear regression models. Finally, a real-data example is analyzed for illustrative purposes.
机译:在本文中,我们考虑了具有相关预测因子的正态线性回归模型中变量选择问题的贝叶斯方法。对于未知的模型参数,我们采用广义的奇异(g)先验分布,对于缩放因子(g),我们采用先验β素数,这导致边际后验分布的闭式表达而没有积分表示。然后提倡对模型空间进行特殊的先验,以反映和维护预测变量之间的层次关系或结构关系。结果表明,在某些名义假设下,所提出的方法在模型选择和预测方面是一致的。仿真研究表明,我们提出的方法对于线性回归模型中的结构变量选择具有良好的性能。最后,出于说明目的,分析了一个实际数据示例。

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