PLUG-IN ELECTRIC VEHICLES MAY MAKE UP 22 PERCENT OF U.S. SALES BY 2030

摘要

In 2011, automakers will launch a number of new plug-in hybrid and battery electric vehicles (PHEVs and BEVs, respectively) around the world. Electric utilities, oil companies and several national economies will be affected if there is rapid market success. Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) has released its forecast for plug-in electric vehicles in the United States (U.S.) to 2030. According to the BNEF forecast, PHEVs and BEVs have the potential to make up 9 percent of auto sales in the U.S. in 2020 and 22 percent in 2030. These sales would include 1.6 million electric vehicles (EVs) in 2020 and 4 million EV sales in 2030. Achieving such growth levels, however, will be dependent on two key factors-aggressive reductions in battery costs and rising gasoline prices.