【24h】

Probabilities and Epistemic Pluralism

机译:概率与认知多元论

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           

摘要

A pluralistic scientific method is one that incorporates a variety of points of view in scientific inquiry. This paper investigates one example of pluralistic method: the use of weighted averaging in probability estimation. I consider two methods of weight determination, one based on disjoint evidence possession and the other on track record. I argue that weighted averaging provides a rational procedure for probability estimation under certain conditions. I consider a strategy for calculating 'mixed weights' which incorporate mixed information about agent credibility. I address various objections to the weighted averaging technique and conclude that the technique is a promising one in various respects. determination, one based on disjoint evidence
机译:多元化的科学方法是在科学探究中结合了多种观点的方法。本文研究了一种多元方法的示例:在概率估计中使用加权平均。我考虑两种确定权重的方法,一种基于不相交的证据拥有权,另一种基于跟踪记录。我认为加权平均为某些条件下的概率估计提供了合理的程序。我考虑了一种计算“混合权重”的策略,该策略结合了有关代理可信度的混合信息。我针对加权平均技术提出了各种异议,并得出结论,该技术在各个方面都是很有前途的。确定,基于不相交的证据

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号