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Illuminate the unknown: evaluation of imputation procedures based on the SAVE survey

机译:照亮未知:基于SAVE调查的插补程序评估

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Questions about monetary variables (such as income, wealth or savings) are key components of questionnaires on household finances. However, missing information on such sensitive topics is a well-known phenomenon which can seriously bias any inference based only on complete-case analysis. Many imputation techniques have been developed and implemented in several surveys. Using the German SAVE data, a new estimation technique is necessary to overcome the upward bias of monetary variables caused by the initially implemented imputation procedure. The upward bias is the result of adding random draws to the implausible negative values predicted by OLS regressions until all values are positive. To overcome this problem the logarithm of the dependent variable is taken and the predicted values are retransformed to the original scale by Duan's smearing estimate. This paper evaluates the two different techniques for the imputation of monetary variables implementing a simulation study, where a random pattern of missingness is imposed on the observed values of the variables of interest. A Monte-Carlo simulation based on the observed data shows the superiority of the newly implemented smearing estimate to construct the missing data structure. All waves are consistently imputed using the new method.
机译:有关货币变量(例如收入,财富或储蓄)的问题是家庭财务调查表的关键组成部分。但是,缺少有关此类敏感主题的信息是一种众所周知的现象,可能仅根据完整案例分析而严重偏向任何推理。在许多调查中已经开发并实施了许多插补技术。使用德国的SAVE数据,必须有一种新的估算技术来克服最初实施的估算程序所导致的货币变量的向上偏差。向上偏差是对OLS回归预测的难以置信的负值添加随机抽取直到所有值均为正值的结果。为了克服这个问题,采用因变量的对数,然后通过段的涂抹估计将预测值重新转换为原始比例。本文评估了实施模拟研究的两种不同的货币变量估算技术,其中,缺失的随机模式被施加到目标变量的观测值上。基于观测数据的蒙特卡洛模拟显示了新实施的拖影估计在构造缺失数据结构方面的优越性。使用新方法可以一致地推算所有波。

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