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Bidirectional options in random yield supply chains with demand and spot price uncertainty

机译:随机产量供应链的双向选项,需求和现货价格不确定性

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摘要

This article develops a game-theoretic model to value the bidirectional option in a one-manufacturer and one-component-supplier system. The production process of the supplier is subject to random yield. The manufacturer contracts the supplier with bidirectional options to obtain components, and assembles them into end products to meet a stochastic demand. In addition, both firms can sell or/and buy the components on a spot market. First, the unique optimal order and production strategies of the decentralized system under bidirectional option contracts are derived. Second, resorting to numerical example and comparing the bidirectional option model with the call option model, we find that the manufacturer's optimal firm and total order as well as expected profit under bidirectional options are larger than that of under call options, but the option quantity has the opposite tendency. The supplier's optimal production quantity are larger under bidirectional options than that of under call options, but only when the option (exercise) price exceeds a certain value, the supplier's expected profit under bidirectional options will be larger than that of under call options. Third, the coordination of the decentralized system under bidirectional option contracts is analyzed and a coordination mechanism with the contract is designed.
机译:本文开发了一个游戏理论模型,可在一个制造商和单组件供应商系统中重视双向选项。供应商的生产过程受随机产量。制造商用双向选项签订供应商以获得组件,并将其组装成最终产品以满足随机需求。此外,两家公司都可以在现货市场出售或/并购买组件。首先,得出了双向期权合约下分散系统的独特最佳秩序和生产策略。二,借助数字示例并将双向选项模型与呼叫选项模型进行比较,我们发现制造商的最佳公司和总订单以及双向选项下的预期利润大于呼叫选项,但期权数量相反的趋势。 The supplier's optimal production quantity are larger under bidirectional options than that of under call options, but only when the option (exercise) price exceeds a certain value, the supplier's expected profit under bidirectional options will be larger than that of under call options.第三,分析了双向期权合约下分散制度的协调,设计了合同的协调机制。

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