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Hubs, spokes and seats

机译:轮毂,辐条和座椅

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A irbus and Boeing have never seen eye to eye on very much, but the market size for new aircraft sales has always been a source of grudging agreement. Now, they cannot even agree on what size of aircraft airlines will buy. Airbus is relying heavily on its forecast for the very large aircraft market vindicating its decision to invest in the A380 programme. Boeing insists that the future is in smaller twin aisle aircraft like its 7E7. Both companies are publicly optimistic. Boeing suggests 24,300 aircraft will be required by 2022 with an order value of $1.9 trillion in 2002 dollars. Airbus believes the number of deliveries will be just under 16,500 (some 30% less than Boeing's view). But, at $ 1.6 trillion, Airbus' estimate of the market value is only 15% less than Boeing's figure. The convergence is explained by Airbus' view that a greater proportion of deliveries will be of very large aircraft like the A380 which have a higher value. Twin aisle aircraft account for fewer deliveries in the European company's forecast.
机译:飞机制造商和波音公司从未见过如此多的见解,但新飞机销售的市场规模一直是达成协议的根源。现在,他们甚至无法商定航空公司将购买多少飞机。空中客车公司非常依赖其对超大型飞机市场的预测,这证明了其投资A380计划的决定。波音坚持认为,未来将是像7E7这样的小型双通道飞机。两家公司都公开乐观。波音公司表示,到2022年将需要24,300架飞机,以2002年的美元价值计算的订单价值为1.9万亿美元。空中客车公司相信交付的飞机数量将接近16500架(比波音的看法少30%)。但是,空中客车公司对市场价值的估计只有1.6万亿美元,仅比波音公司的数字低15%。空中客车公司的观点解释了这种趋同,空中客车公司将交付更大比例的飞机,例如价值更高的A380等大型飞机。在欧洲公司的预测中,双通道飞机的交付量较少。

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    《Aircraft Economics》 |2004年第76期|p.24-25|共2页
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  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 航空;
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