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Hindcasting the Madden‐Julian Oscillation With a New Parameterization of Surface Heat Fluxes

机译:使用表面热通量的新参数化对Madden-Julian振荡进行后播

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摘要

The recently developed maximum entropy production (MEP) model, an alternative parameterization of surface heat fluxes, is incorporated into the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. A pair of WRF cloud‐resolving experiments (5 km grids) using the bulk transfer model (WRF default) and the MEP model of surface heat fluxes are performed to hindcast the October Madden‐Julian oscillation (MJO) event observed during the 2011 Dynamics of the MJO (DYNAMO) field campaign. The simulated surface latent and sensible heat fluxes in the MEP and bulk transfer model runs are in general consistent with in situ observations from two research vessels. Compared to the bulk transfer model, the convection envelope is strengthened in the MEP run and shows a more coherent propagation over the Maritime Continent. The simulated precipitable water in the MEP run is in closer agreement with the observations. Precipitation in the MEP run is enhanced during the active phase of the MJO with significantly reduced regional dry and wet biases. Large‐scale ocean evaporation is stronger in the MEP run leading to stronger boundary layer moistening to the east of the convection center, which facilitates the eastward propagation of the MJO.
机译:最新开发的最大熵产生(MEP)模型(一种替代的表面热通量参数化模型)已纳入“天气研究与预报(WRF)”模型中。进行了两次使用体量传递模型(默认为WRF)和表面热通量的MEP模型进行的WRF云解析实验(5 km网格),以后预报2011年动力学期间观测到的十月Madden-Julian振荡(MJO)事件。 MJO(DYNAMO)野战活动。在MEP和整体传输模型运行中模拟的表面潜热通量和显热通量总体上与两个研究船的现场观测结果一致。与批量传输模型相比,对流包络线在MEP运行中得到了增强,并显示了在海陆上更一致的传播。 MEP运行中模拟的可降水量与观测值更接近。在MJO的活动阶段,MEP运行中的降水会增加,而区域干湿偏差会大大减少。在MEP的运行中,大规模海洋蒸发作用更强,导致对流中心以东的边界层变湿,这有利于MJO向东传播。

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