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Militarism and globalization: Is there an empirical link?

机译:军国主义与全球化:是否存在经验联系?

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摘要

Despite the fact that previous studies have extensively investigated the causal nexus between military expenditure and economic growth in both developed and developing countries, those studies have not considered the role of globalization. The aim of this study is to examine the relationship between militarism and globalization for the top 15 military expenditure spenders over the period 1990–2012. The bootstrap panel Granger causality approach is utilized to detect the direction of causality. The results show that military expenditure and overall globalization are causally related in most of the countries under review. This implies that countries experiencing greater globalization have relatively large increases in militarization over the past 20 years. The policy implication of the findings is that greater military spending by a country increases the likelihood of military conflict in the future, the anticipation of which discourages globalization.
机译:尽管以前的研究已经广泛研究了发达国家和发展中国家的军事支出与经济增长之间的因果关系,但这些研究并未考虑全球化的作用。这项研究的目的是研究1990年至2012年期间军方开支与全球化之间前15名军事开支支出者之间的关系。引导面板Granger因果关系方法用于检测因果关系的方向。结果表明,在大多数接受审查的国家中,军事支出和总体全球化具有因果关系。这意味着正在经历更大全球化的国家在过去20年中军事化的增长相对较大。研究结果的政策含义是,一国增加军事开支会增加未来发生军事冲突的可能性,因为这种冲突的预期会阻碍全球化。

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