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Learning and the possibility of losing own money reduce overbidding: Delayed payment in experimental auctions

机译:学习和亏本的可能性减少了竞价:实验拍卖中的延迟付款

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摘要

In this study, we designed a delayed payment mechanism in laboratory second price auctions (SPAs), under which subjects received a cash endowment two weeks after the experiment day and had to use their own money to pay the experimental losses (if any) on the experiment day. We compared the effect of delayed payment on overbidding in the induced value SPAs with the conventional “on-the-spot” payment mechanism where the subjects received an endowment on the experiment day, and the prepaid mechanism where the subjects received the endowment two weeks before the experiment day. Each auction was repeated for 20 rounds to provide sufficient learning opportunities to the bidders. Our results showed that bids converged to the corresponding values over auction rounds and overbidding was reduced by previous losses, consistently with the adaptive learning theory. Moreover, overbidding seems to depend significantly on bidders’ cash holding, and the magnitude of the payment treatment effects depends crucially on liquidity constraints. In the presence of liquidity constraints, both delayed and prepaid payment mechanisms reduced overbidding, while in the absence of liquidity constraints, only the delayed endowment mechanism reduced overbidding. Furthermore, when controlling the degree of liquidity constraints, subjects with higher GPAs were less likely to overbid and the delayed endowment mechanism significantly reduced overbidding compared to other payment mechanisms. These results suggest that overbidding in SPAs might be caused by bounded rationality and could be reduced by adaptive learning especially when overbidding becomes “truly” costly to subjects.
机译:在这项研究中,我们设计了实验室第二价格拍卖(SPA)的延迟付款机制,根据该机制,受试者在实验日两周后获得了现金捐赠,并且不得不用自己的钱来支付实验中的实验损失(如果有)。实验日。我们将延迟付款对诱导价值SPA中的竞价产生的影响与传统的“现场”付款机制(受试者在实验日获得捐赠)和预付费机制(受试者在两周前获得捐赠)进行了比较。实验日。每次拍卖重复进行20轮,以为投标人提供足够的学习机会。我们的结果表明,与自适应学习理论相一致,竞标中的出价收敛到相应的值,而先前的亏损减少了竞价。此外,竞价似乎很大程度上取决于投标人的现金持有量,而付款待遇的影响程度则主要取决于流动性限制。在存在流动性约束的情况下,延迟付款和预付款机制都减少了竞价,而在没有流动性约束的情况下,只有延迟的捐赠机制减少了竞价。此外,在控制流动性约束的程度时,具有较高GPA的主体不太可能出现过度出价,并且与其他支付机制相比,延迟捐赠机制显着减少了过度出价。这些结果表明,SPA中的过度招标可能是由于有限的理性所致,并且可以通过自适应学习来减少,特别是当过度招标对受试者而言“确实”变得代价高昂时。

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