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Learning and forgetting in the jet fighter aircraft industry

机译:喷气战斗机行业的学习与遗忘

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摘要

A recent strategy carried out by the aircraft industry to reduce the total cost of the new generation fighters has consisted in the development of a single airframe with different technical and operational specifications. This strategy has been designed to reduce costs in the Research, Design and Development phase with the ultimate objective of reducing the final unit price per aircraft. This is the case of the F-35 Lightning II, where three versions, with significant differences among them, are produced simultaneously based on a single airframe. Whereas this strategy seems to be useful to cut down pre-production sunk costs, their effects on production costs remain to be studied. This paper shows that this strategy can imply larger costs in the production phase by reducing learning acquisition and hence, the total effect on the final unit price of the aircraft is indeterminate. Learning curves are estimated based on the flyaway cost for the latest three fighter aircraft models: The A/F-18E/F Super Hornet, the F-22A Raptor, and the F-35A Lightning II. We find that learning rates for the F-35A are significantly lower (an estimated learning rate of around 9%) than for the other two models (around 14%).
机译:飞机工业最近为降低新一代战斗机的总成本而采取的策略包括开发具有不同技术和操作规格的单个机身。该策略旨在降低研究,设计和开发阶段的成本,最终目的是降低每架飞机的最终单价。 F-35闪电II就是这种情况,其中三个版本之间的差异很大,它们是在单个机身的基础上同时生产的。尽管此策略对于降低生产前的沉没成本似乎很有用,但它们对生产成本的影响仍有待研究。本文表明,这种策略可以通过减少学习量来暗示生产阶段的更大成本,因此,对飞机最终单价的总体影响是不确定的。学习曲线是根据最新的三种战斗机模型的飞行成本估算的:A / F-18E / F超级大黄蜂,F-22A猛禽和F-35A闪电II。我们发现F-35A的学习率明显低于其他两种型号(约14%)(估计学习率约为9%)。

著录项

  • 期刊名称 PLoS Clinical Trials
  • 作者

    Anelí Bongers;

  • 作者单位
  • 年(卷),期 2011(12),9
  • 年度 2011
  • 页码 e0185364
  • 总页数 19
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 12:35:57

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