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Global stability of COVID-19 model involving the quarantine strategy and media coverage effects

机译:Covid-19模型的全球稳定性涉及检疫策略和媒体覆盖效应

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摘要

In this paper, we build and analyze a mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission considering media coverage effects. Due to transmission characteristics of COVID-19, we can divided the population into five classes. The first class describes the susceptible individuals, the second class is exposed individuals, the third class is infected individuals, the fourth class is quarantine class and the last class is recovered individuals. The existence, uniqueness and boundedness of the solutions of the model are discussed. The basic reproduction number ℛ0 is obtained. All possible equilibrium points of the model are investigated and their local stability is discussed under some conditions. The disease-free equilibrium is local asymptotically stable when ℛ0<1 and unstable when ℛ0>1. The globally asymptotical stability of all point is verified by Lyapunov function. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to confirm the analytical results and understand the effect of varying the parameters on spread of COVID-19. These findings suggested that media coverage can be considered as an effective way to mitigate the COVID-19 spreading.
机译:在本文中,考虑到媒体覆盖效应,我们构建和分析Covid-19传输的数学模型。由于Covid-19的传输特性,我们可以将人口分成五个课程。第一类描述了敏感的个体,第二类是暴露的个体,第三类是受感染的个体,第四类是检疫课程,最后一类是恢复个人。讨论了模型解决方案的存在,唯一性和界限。获得基本的再现号码ℛ0。研究了模型的所有可能的均衡点,在某些条件下讨论了它们的局部稳定性。无疾病平衡是当ℛ0<1时α0<1时稳定的局部渐近稳定。所有点的全局渐近稳定性由Lyapunov函数验证。最后,进行了数值模拟以确认分析结果,了解改变参数对Covid-19的扩散的影响。这些调查结果表明,媒体覆盖率可以被视为减轻Covid-19扩散的有效方法。

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