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The human-snail transmission environment shapes long term schistosomiasis control outcomes: Implications for improving the accuracy of predictive modeling

机译:人与蜗牛之间的传播环境决定了血吸虫病的长期控制结果:对提高预测模型准确性的意义

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摘要

IntroductionSchistosomiasis is a chronic parasitic trematode disease that affects over 240 million people worldwide. The Schistosoma lifecycle is complex, involving transmission via specific intermediate-host freshwater snails. Predictive mathematical models of Schistosoma transmission have often chosen to simplify or ignore the details of environmental human-snail interaction in their analyses. Schistosome transmission models now aim to provide better precision for policy planning of elimination of transmission. This heightens the importance of including the environmental complexity of vector-pathogen interaction in order to make more accurate projections.
机译:简介血吸虫病是一种慢性寄生性吸虫性疾病,全球范围内有超过2.4亿人受到感染。血吸虫的生命周期很复杂,涉及通过特定的中间宿主淡水蜗牛传播。血吸虫传播的预测数学模型经常选择在分析中简化或忽略环境中人与蜗牛相互作用的细节。现在,血吸虫传播模型旨在为消除传播的政策规划提供更好的精度。这就增加了包括病媒-病原体相互作用的环境复杂性以进行更准确的预测的重要性。

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