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Shrinkage Estimation of Varying Covariate Effects Based On Quantile Regression

机译:基于分位数回归的变协变量效应的收缩率估计

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摘要

Varying covariate effects often manifest meaningful heterogeneity in covariate-response associations. In this paper, we adopt a quantile regression model that assumes linearity at a continuous range of quantile levels as a tool to explore such data dynamics. The consideration of potential non-constancy of covariate effects necessitates a new perspective for variable selection, which, under the assumed quantile regression model, is to retain variables that have effects on all quantiles of interest as well as those that influence only part of quantiles considered. Current work on l1-penalized quantile regression either does not concern varying covariate effects or may not produce consistent variable selection in the presence of covariates with partial effects, a practical scenario of interest. In this work, we propose a shrinkage approach by adopting a novel uniform adaptive LASSO penalty. The new approach enjoys easy implementation without requiring smoothing. Moreover, it can consistently identify the true model (uniformly across quantiles) and achieve the oracle estimation efficiency. We further extend the proposed shrinkage method to the case where responses are subject to random right censoring. Numerical studies confirm the theoretical results and support the utility of our proposals.
机译:不同的协变量效应通常在协变量-响应关联中表现出有意义的异质性。在本文中,我们采用分位数回归模型(假设在连续的分位数水平范围内保持线性)作为探索此类数据动态的工具。考虑协变量效应的潜在非恒定性需要一个新的变量选择视角,在假定的分位数回归模型下,该变量将保留对所有感兴趣的分位数以及仅影响所考虑的分位数的那些变量产生影响的变量。当前关于l1惩罚的分位数回归的工作要么不涉及变化的协变量效应,要么在存在具有局部效应的协变量的情况下可能不会产生一致的变量选择,这是一个令人感兴趣的实际情况。在这项工作中,我们通过采用新颖的均匀自适应LASSO罚分提出了一种收缩方法。新方法易于实施,无需进行平滑处理。而且,它可以一致地识别真实模型(在各个分位数之间均匀一致),并达到预言估计效率。我们进一步将提出的收缩方法扩展到响应受随机权限审查的情况。数值研究证实了理论结果并支持了我们的建议的实用性。

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