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PROBABILITY DISCOUNTING OF GAINS AND LOSSES: IMPLICATIONS FOR RISKATTITUDES AND IMPULSIVITY

机译:损益的概率折现:对风险的影响态度和冲动

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摘要

Sixty college students performed three discounting tasks: probability discounting of gains, probability discounting of losses, and delay discounting of gains. Each task used an adjusting-amount procedure, and participants' choices affected the amount and timing of their remuneration for participating. Both group and individual discounting functions from all three procedures were well fitted by hyperboloid discounting functions. A negative correlation between the probability discounting of gains and losses was observed, consistent with the idea that individuals' choices on probability discounting tasks reflect their general attitude towards risk, regardless of whether the outcomes are gains or losses. This finding further suggests that risk attitudes reflect the weighting an individual gives to the lowest-valued outcome (e.g., getting nothing when the probabilistic outcome is a gain or actually losing when the probabilistic outcome is a loss). According to this view, risk-aversion indicates a tendency to overweight the lowest-valued outcome, whereas risk-seeking indicates a tendency to underweight it. Neither probability discounting of gains nor probability discounting of losses were reliably correlated with discounting of delayed gains, a result that is inconsistent with the idea that probabilitydiscounting and delay discounting both reflect a general tendency towardsimpulsivity.
机译:六十名大学生执行了三个折现任务:收益的可能性折现,损失的可能性折现和收益的延迟折现。每个任务都使用调整金额程序,参与者的选择会影响他们的参与薪酬的金额和时间。双曲面折现函数很好地拟合了所有三个过程的组和个人折现函数。观察到了收益和损失的概率折现之间的负相关,这与以下观点一致:个体对概率折现任务的选择反映了他们对风险的一般态度,而不管结果是收益还是损失。这一发现进一步表明,风险态度反映了个人对价值最低的结果的重视程度(例如,当概率结果获得收益时一无所获,而当概率结果获得损失时则一无所获)。根据这种观点,规避风险表明倾向于偏重最低值的结果,而寻求风险则表明倾向于偏低该结果。收益的概率折现或损失的概率折现都没有与延迟收益的折现可靠地相关联,这一结果与概率的观点不一致贴现和延迟贴现均反映了冲动性。

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