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Changes and Relationships of Climatic and Hydrological Droughts in the Jialing River Basin China

机译:嘉陵江流域气候干旱与水文干旱的关系

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摘要

The comprehensive assessment of climatic and hydrological droughts in terms of their temporal and spatial evolutions is very important for water resources management and social development in the basin scale. To study the spatial and temporal changes of climatic and hydrological droughts and the relationships between them, the SPEI and SDI are adopted to assess the changes and the correlations of climatic and hydrological droughts by selecting the Jialing River basin, China as the research area. The SPEI and SDI at different time scales are assessed both at the entire Jialing River basin and at the regional levels of the three sub basins. The results show that the SPEI and SDI are very suitable for assessing the changes and relationships of climatic and hydrological droughts in large basins. Based on the assessment, for the Jialing River basin, climatic and hydrological droughts have the increasing tendency during recent several decades, and the increasing trend of climatic droughts is significant or extremely significant in the western and northern basin, while hydrological drought has a less significant increasing trend. Additionally, climatic and hydrological droughts tend to increase in the next few years. The results also show that on short time scales, climatic droughts have one or two months lag impact on hydrological droughts in the north-west area of the basin, and have one month lag impact in south-east area of the basin. The assessment of climatic and hydrological droughts based on the SPEI and SDI could be very useful for water resources management and climate change adaptation at large basin scale.
机译:就干旱和干旱的时空演变进行综合评估,对于流域尺度的水资源管理和社会发展非常重要。为了研究气候和水文干旱的时空变化及其之间的关系,以中国嘉陵江流域为研究区域,采用SPEI和SDI对气候和水文干旱的变化及其相关性进行评估。在整个嘉陵江流域和三个子流域的区域层面上,都对不同时间尺度的SPEI和SDI进行了评估。结果表明,SPEI和SDI非常适合评估大盆地的气候和水文干旱的变化及其相互关系。根据评估,在嘉陵江流域,近几十年来气候干旱和水文干旱呈上升趋势,西部和北部盆地气候干旱的上升趋势显着或极显着,而水文干旱的趋势不明显。增长趋势。此外,未来几年气候和水文干旱趋于加剧。结果还表明,在较短的时间尺度上,气候干旱对流域西北部的水文干旱有滞后影响一到两个月,而对流域东南部的影响则有一个月滞后。基于SPEI和SDI的气候和水文干旱评估对于大规模流域的水资源管理和气候变化适应非常有用。

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