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Local Composite Quantile Regression Smoothing for Harris Recurrent Markov Processes

机译:哈里斯递归马尔可夫过程的局部复合分位数回归平滑

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摘要

In this paper, we study the local polynomial composite quantile regression (CQR) smoothing method for the nonlinear and nonparametric models under the Harris recurrent Markov chain framework. The local polynomial CQR regression method is a robust alternative to the widely-used local polynomial method, and has been well studied in stationary time series. In this paper, we relax the stationarity restriction on the model, and allow that the regressors are generated by a general Harris recurrent Markov process which includes both the stationary (positive recurrent) and nonstationary (null recurrent) cases. Under some mild conditions, we establish the asymptotic theory for the proposed local polynomial CQR estimator of the mean regression function, and show that the convergence rate for the estimator in nonstationary case is slower than that in stationary case. Furthermore, a weighted type local polynomial CQR estimator is provided to improve the estimation efficiency, and a data-driven bandwidth selection is introduced to choose the optimal bandwidth involved in the nonparametric estimators. Finally, we give some numerical studies to examine the finite sample performance of the developed methodology and theory.
机译:本文研究了哈里斯递归马尔可夫链框架下非线性和非参数模型的局部多项式复合分位数回归(CQR)平滑方法。局部多项式CQR回归方法是广泛使用的局部多项式方法的可靠替代方法,并且已在固定时间序列中进行了深入研究。在本文中,我们放宽了对模型的平稳性限制,并允许回归由一般的Harris递归马尔可夫过程生成,该过程包括平稳(正递归)和非平稳(零递归)情况。在某些温和条件下,我们为提出的均值回归函数的局部多项式CQR估计量建立了渐近理论,并表明在非平稳情况下,估计量的收敛速度慢于平稳情况。此外,提供了加权类型的局部多项式CQR估计器以提高估计效率,并且引入了数据驱动的带宽选择以选择非参数估计器中涉及的最佳带宽。最后,我们进行了一些数值研究,以检验已开发方法和理论的有限样本性能。

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