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Robust High-dimensional Volatility Matrix Estimation for High-Frequency Factor Model

机译:高频因子模型的鲁棒高维波动率矩阵估计

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摘要

High-frequency financial data allow us to estimate large volatility matrices with relatively short time horizon. Many novel statistical methods have been introduced to address large volatility matrix estimation problems from a high-dimensional Itô process with microstructural noise contamination. Their asymptotic theories require sub-Gaussian or some finite high-order moments assumptions for observed log-returns. These assumptions are at odd with the heavy tail phenomenon that is pandemic in financial stock returns and new procedures are needed to mitigate the influence of heavy tails. In this paper, we introduce the Huber loss function with a diverging threshold to develop a robust realized volatility estimation. We show that it has the sub-Gaussian concentration around the volatility with only finite fourth moments of observed log-returns. With the proposed robust estimator as input, we further regularize it by using the principal orthogonal component thresholding (POET) procedure to estimate the large volatility matrix that admits an approximate factor structure. We establish the asymptotic theories for such low-rank plus sparse matrices. The simulation study is conducted to check the finite sample performance of the proposed estimation methods.
机译:高频金融数据使我们能够在相对较短的时间范围内估计较大的波动矩阵。已经引入了许多新颖的统计方法来解决来自具有微观结构噪声污染的高维Itô过程的大挥发性矩阵估计问题。他们的渐近理论需要亚高斯或一些有限的高阶矩假设来观测对数返回。这些假设与金融股票收益中普遍存在的大尾巴现象不符,因此需要新的程序来减轻大尾巴的影响。在本文中,我们介绍了具有不同阈值的Huber损失函数,以开发可靠的实现波动率估计。我们表明,它在波动率附近具有次高斯浓度,只有观察到的对数返回的有限第四时刻。使用建议的鲁棒估计量作为输入,我们通过使用主正交分量阈值化(POET)过程对它进行正则化,以估计允许近似因子结构的大波动率矩阵。我们建立了这种低秩加稀疏矩阵的渐近理论。进行了仿真研究,以检验所提出估计方法的有限样本性能。

著录项

  • 期刊名称 other
  • 作者

    Jianqing Fan; Donggyu Kim;

  • 作者单位
  • 年(卷),期 -1(113),523
  • 年度 -1
  • 页码 1268–1283
  • 总页数 38
  • 原文格式 PDF
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