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More rapid climate change promotes evolutionary rescue through selection for increased dispersal distance

机译:更迅速的气候变化通过选择增加扩散距离来促进进化救援

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摘要

Species can either adapt to new conditions induced by climate change or shift their range in an attempt to track optimal environmental conditions. During current range shifts, species are simultaneously confronted with a second major anthropogenic disturbance, landscape fragmentation. Using individual-based models with a shifting climate window, we examine the effect of different rates of climate change on the evolution of dispersal distances through changes in the genetically determined dispersal kernel. Our results demonstrate that the rate of climate change is positively correlated to the evolved dispersal distances although too fast climate change causes the population to crash. When faced with realistic rates of climate change, greater dispersal distances evolve than those required for the population to keep track of the climate, thereby maximizing population size. Importantly, the greater dispersal distances that evolve when climate change is more rapid, induce evolutionary rescue by facilitating the population in crossing large gaps in the landscape. This could ensure population persistence in case of range shifting in fragmented landscapes. Furthermore, we highlight problems in using invasion speed as a proxy for potential range shifting abilities under climate change.
机译:物种既可以适应气候变化引起的新条件,也可以改变其范围以试图追踪最佳环境条件。在当前范围变化期间,物种同时面临第二种主要的人为干扰,即景观破碎化。使用基于个人的具有变化的气候窗口的模型,我们通过遗传确定的扩散核的变化,研究了不同的气候变化速率对扩散距离演变的影响。我们的结果表明,尽管气候变化过快导致人口崩溃,但气候变化的速率与扩散距离呈正相关。当面对现实的气候变化速率时,扩散距离会比人口追踪气候所需的扩散距离更大,从而使人口规模最大化。重要的是,当气候变化更加迅速时,散布的距离会越来越大,通过促进人口越过景观中的大空白来诱导进化的营救。这可以确保在分散的景观范围发生变化的情况下保持人口的持久性。此外,我们重点介绍了使用入侵速度代替气候变化下潜在的范围转移能力的问题。

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