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Understanding predation risk and individual variation in risk avoidance for threatened boreal caribou

机译:了解濒临灭绝的北美驯鹿的捕食风险和风险规避的个体差异

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摘要

Predation risk is a driver of species’ distributions. Animals can increase risk avoidance in response to fluctuations in predation risk, but questions remain regarding individual variability and the capacity to respond to changes in spatial risk across human‐altered landscapes. In northeast British Columbia, Canada, boreal caribou populations declined as roads and seismic lines have increased, which are theorized to increase gray wolf predation. Our goal was to model risk and to evaluate individual variability and the development of risk perception by examining individual risk avoidance in response to reproductive status and age. We used locations from collared caribou and wolves to identify landscape features associated with the risk of a potential wolf‐caribou encounter and risk of being killed given an encounter. We built resource selection functions to estimate individual responses to risk. We used general linear regressions to evaluate individual risk and linear feature avoidance as a function of age and reproductive status (calf or no calf). Linear features increased the risk of encounter. Older caribou and caribou with calves demonstrated stronger avoidance of the risk of encounter and roads, but weaker avoidance in late summer to the risk of being killed relative to younger and calf‐less individuals. Mechanisms explaining the inverse relationships between the risk of encounter and risk of being killed are uncertain, but it is conceivable that caribou learn to avoid the risk of encounter and roads. Responses by females with vulnerable calves to the risk of encounter and risk of being killed might be explained by a trade‐off between these two risk types and a prioritization on the risk of encounter. Despite the capacity to alter their responses to risk, the global decline in Rangifer populations (caribou and wild reindeer) suggests these behaviors are insufficient to mitigate the impacts of anthropogenic disturbances.
机译:捕食风险是物种分布的驱动力。动物可以响应于捕食风险的波动而增加规避风险的能力,但是仍然存在关于个体变异性以及人类改变景观对空间风险变化的响应能力的疑问。在加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省东北部,随着道路和地震线的增加,北美驯鹿的数量减少了,从理论上讲,这增加了灰太狼的捕食活动。我们的目标是通过检查针对生殖状况和年龄的个体风险回避来对风险进行建模并评估个体变异性和风险感知的发展。我们使用了有颈驯鹿和狼的位置来识别与可能与狼驯鹿相遇的风险以及由于相遇而被杀死的风险相关的景观特征。我们建立了资源选择功能,以估计对风险的个人反应。我们使用一般线性回归来评估个体风险和避免线性特征与年龄和生殖状况(小腿或无小腿)的关系。线性特征会增加遇到的风险。较老的驯鹿和带犊牛的驯鹿表现出更强的躲避遭遇和道路的风险,但相对于年龄较小和没有犊牛的个体,避开避险的能力较弱。解释相遇风险和被杀死风险之间的反比关系的机制尚不确定,但是可以想象驯鹿学会避免相遇和道路的风险。犊牛脆弱的雌性对遭遇和被杀的风险的反应可以通过在这两种风险类型之间进行权衡以及对遭遇的风险进行优先级来解释。尽管有能力改变其对风险的反应,但Rangifer种群(驯鹿和野生驯鹿)的全球下降表明,这些行为不足以减轻人为干扰的影响。

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