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Epidemic risk from friendship network data: an equivalence with a non-uniform sampling of contact networks

机译:友谊网络数据中的流行病风险:等效性与不均匀的联系网络采样

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摘要

Contacts between individuals play an important role in determining how infectious diseases spread. Various methods to gather data on such contacts co-exist, from surveys to wearable sensors. Comparisons of data obtained by different methods in the same context are however scarce, in particular with respect to their use in data-driven models of spreading processes. Here, we use a combined data set describing contacts registered by sensors and friendship relations in the same population to address this issue in a case study. We investigate if the use of the friendship network is equivalent to a sampling procedure performed on the sensor contact network with respect to the outcome of simulations of spreading processes: such an equivalence might indeed give hints on ways to compensate for the incompleteness of contact data deduced from surveys. We show that this is indeed the case for these data, for a specifically designed sampling procedure, in which respondents report their neighbors with a probability depending on their contact time. We study the impact of this specific sampling procedure on several data sets, discuss limitations of our approach and its possible applications in the use of data sets of various origins in data-driven simulations of epidemic processes.
机译:人与人之间的接触在确定传染病的传播方式方面起着重要作用。从调查到可穿戴式传感器,都存在多种收集此类联系人数据的方法。然而,在相同情况下通过不同方法获得的数据的比较却很少,尤其是在扩展过程的数据驱动模型中的使用方面。在这里,我们使用组合数据集来描述同一人群中传感器注册的联系人和友谊关系,以解决此问题。对于扩展过程的模拟结果,我们调查了友谊网络的使用是否等效于在传感器接触网络上执行的采样过程:这样的等效性确实可能提示如何补偿推断出的接触数据的不完整性从调查中我们表明,对于经过特殊设计的抽样程序而言,这些数据的确如此。在这种抽样程序中,受访者根据其联系时间以概率报告其邻居。我们研究了这种特定采样程序对几个数据集的影响,讨论了我们的方法的局限性及其在流行病学过程的数据驱动模拟中使用各种来源的数据集的可能应用。

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