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The Decline in Diffuse Support for National Politics

机译:对国家政治的广泛支持下降

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摘要

This research note considers how to track long-term trajectories of political discontent in Britain. Many accounts are confined to using either survey data drawn from recent decades or imperfect behavioral measures such as voting or party membership as indicators of political disengagement. We instead develop an approach that provides the long view on political disaffection. We first consider time-series data available from repeated survey measures. We next replicate historic survey questions to observe change in public opinion relative to earlier points in time. Finally, we use dyad-ratios algorithm to construct an over-time index of political discontent that combines data from multiple poll series. This reveals rising levels of political discontent for both specific and diffuse measures of mass opinion. Our method and findings offer insights into the rising tide of disillusionment afflicting many contemporary democracies.
机译:本研究笔记考虑了如何追踪英国政治不满的长期趋势。许多帐户仅限于使用近几十年来的调查数据或不完善的行为方式(例如投票或政党成员身份)作为政治脱离接触的指标。相反,我们开发了一种方法,可以对政治上的不满提供长远的看法。我们首先考虑可通过重复调查获得的时间序列数据。接下来,我们将复制历史调查问题,以观察相对于较早时间点的舆论变化。最后,我们使用dyad-ratios算法构建政治不满情绪的超时指标,该指标结合了来自多个民意测验系列的数据。这表明,针对群众性舆论的具体和分散措施,政治上的不满情绪不断上升。我们的方法和发现为深入了解困扰许多现代民主国家的幻灭潮流提供了见识。

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