Declines in serum CYFRA21-1 and carcinoembryonic antigen as predictors of chemotherapy response and survival in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer

摘要

The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical value of serum cytokeratin 19 fragment (CYFRA21-1) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in the prediction of chemotherapy response and prognosis in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Serum CYFRA21-1 and CEA levels of 98 patients with advanced NSCLC were measured using immunoradiometric kits prior to and after 2 cycles of chemotherapy. After 2 cycles of chemotherapy, 45 patients achieved a radiological objective response (OR), 30 patients achieved stable disease (SD) and 23 patients had progressive disease (PD). Serum CYFRA21-1 and CEA were significantly decreased compared to baseline levels (P<0.001). By ROC curve analysis, a ≥60% reduction in CYFRA21-1 and a ≥25% reduction in CEA were the optimal cut-off levels with best sensitivity and specificity for the diagnosis of radiologic OR. The median survival of all patients was 10.2 months (range 2.6–26.3). Univariate survival analysis showed that the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) score, radiologic OR, a ≥60% reduction in CYFRA21-1 and a ≥25% reduction in CEA were significant prognostic factors for better overall survival. The median overall survival time in patients with a ≥60% reduction in CYFRA21-1 was significantly longer than in those with a <60% reduction (P<0.001). Similarly, the median overall survival time in patients with a ≥25% reduction in CEA was also significantly longer than in those with a <25% reduction (P<0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that ECOG PS score, a ≥60% reduction in CYFRA21-1 and a ≥25% reduction in CEA were independent prognostic factors of survival, while radiologic OR was not. In conclusion, a ≥60% reduction in CYFRA21-1 and a ≥25% reduction in CEA may be reliable surrogate markers for the prediction of chemothrapy response and prognosis, especially for the diagnosis of radiologic OR.