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The strengths and limitations of parental heights as a predictorof attained height

机译:父母身高作为预测指标的优势和局限性达到的高度

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摘要

Mid-parental heights are widely used to help assess an individual child's growth. However, the methods in use vary, and most make no allowance for extremes of parental height. This study aimed to examine the actual distribution of parental heights in a survey population and the relation with their children's heights. The heights of 419 representatively sampled children aged 8-9 years were compared with their reported mid-parental heights, all expressed as standard deviation scores (SDS). These confirmed previous predictions that 90% of the children's heights would fall within 1.5 SDS (approximately two centile spaces) of their mid-parental heights. However, where parents were unusually tall or short, their children were relatively less tall or short, respectively, and the mid-parental height was a poor predictor of attained height. A simple calculator for expected height centile is described that automatically adjusts for this regression to the mean. Of 13 children below the second centile for height, eight were within two centile spaces (90% range) of their mid-parental height SDS. However, when allowance was made for regression to the mean, only three of 13 were within the 90% range.Although mid-parental height provides a useful guide to expected heightcentile for children and parents of average stature, it can bemisleading when used to assess short children.

机译:父母中间的高度被广泛用来帮助评估单个孩子的成长。但是,所使用的方法各不相同,并且大多数都不允许父母身高达到极限。这项研究的目的是检验调查人群中父母身高的实际分布及其与子女身高的关系。将419名有代表性的8-9岁儿童的身高与他们报告的父母中段身高进行了比较,均以标准差评分(SDS)表示。这些证实了先前的预测,即90%的孩子身高将落在其父母中间高度的1.5 SDS(大约两个百分位)之内。但是,在父母身高或矮小的地方,孩子的身高或矮小相对较少,并且父母中间的身高不能很好地预测身高。描述了一个用于预期身高百分位数的简单计算器,该计算器会针对此回归自动调整为均值。在身高第二个百分点以下的13个孩子中,有8个在父母中点身高SDS的两个百分点(90%范围)内。但是,如果考虑到回归平均值,则13个样本中只有3个在90%范围内。尽管父母中间的身高为预期身高提供了有用的指导对于身材一般的孩子和父母来说,在评估矮个子时会产生误导。

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