The clinical utility curve: a proposal to improve the translation of information provided by prediction models to clinicians

摘要

BackgroundPrediction models are essential to the development of prediction rules that guide decision-making, and comparison of prediction models with and without an additional diagnostic or prognostic risk factor allows assessment of the value of the additional factor in risk prediction. However, the many different measures described to translate the information provided by a prediction model do not readily assist clinicians’ decision-making.